StatJunkie's Hoop Blog | thoughts on ncaa hoops from http://statjunkie.org

Mar/10

18

Upset Predictions for Day 1

And it begins!  March Madness!  The real thing finally!  Let me in on a few upsets that I decided to go with before the games actually take place.

#12 UTEP over #5 Butler:  Ok, for anyone who has read my blog at all this year knows how much I think Butler has been overrated.  I was surprised that they received a #5 seed considering that their non-conference schedule wasn’t exactly stacked with great wins.  But it’s not just my dislike for Butler (and yes, some of that is jealousy considering my alma mater is relatively the same size of school and has no where near the success of them), UTEP is a strong team.  Randy Culpepper is a scoring point, Derrick Caracter is a matchup nightmare inside for the Bulldogs, and the Miners are just way more athletic than Butler.  Don’t be surprised if, no matter whom UTEP gets in the second round, they will be playing next weekend.

#11 San Diego St. over #6 Tennessee:  Why?  I really don’t have a great answer for that except that Tennessee is inconsistent and I like teams from the Mountain West in this tourney.  This one could be a big embarrassment for me, the Vols do have the talent to make a run to the Sweet 16 and beyond.

#13 Murray St. over #4 Vanderbilt:  The Racers live up to their name as they are a team that likes to get out and run.  As long as they can force the tempo the Racers will be able to negate A.J. Ogilvy on the inside for Vandy.

These are the three big ones for day 1.  As I write this Villanova is down early to Robert Morris by 6.  Of course early is the under eight timeout in the first half.  They need to wake up or two of the three brackets I filled out will be completely moot.

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