The four things November taught me.
1) It’s early!! The selection committee wouldn’t have much data to work with right now. There is a reason the NCAA doesn’t post the RPI (the most significant variable in our model) until February, because the values will continue to be unstable until then.
2) The ACC will get more than 4 teams (North Carolina and Georgia Tech). The Big Ten will get more than 3 (Michigan St. and Ohio St.). The Pac 10 may only get 3. The SEC will not get 8 teams.
3) The addition of the Great West Conference and its automatic bid isn’t going to make the trip to Indianapolis, but it is going to take away one of the at large bids from a mid-major on Selection Sunday. This means two teams from the West Coast Conference instead of three.
4) The Big East made an early claim to get more than the seven teams it got last year. The 16 teams combined for a 79-12 record, led by a somewhat surprising West Virginia (5-0; RPI=1), Syracuse (7-0; RPI=32), and St. John’s (5-0; RPI=4).
Last 4 In: Clemson, New Mexico, Northern Iowa, Kentucky
Next 4 In: Tennessee, Arizona, Minnesota, Richmond
Bubble Out: Louisville, Cincinnati, Seton Hall, Dayton, LSU, Miami Fl, Northwestern, Texas Tech
A10 (3): Rhode Island, Temple, Richmond
ACC (3): NC State, Duke, Florida St., Clemson
AmEast (1): Stony Brook
Atlantic Sun (1): Campbell
Big Ten (3): Purdue, Wisconsin, Minnesota
Big 12 (5): Texas, Texas A&M, Kansas St., Oklahoma St., Kansas
Big East (10): West Virginia, Syracuse, St John’s,
Villanova, Georgetown, DePaul, Pittsburgh, Connecticut, South Florida, Marquette
Big Sky (1): Northern Colorado
Big South (1): Coastal Carolina
Big West (1): Cal St Fullerton
CAA (2): Vir Commonwealth, William & Mary
Conf USA (1): Southern Miss
Great West (1): Utah Valley St.
Horizon (1): Loyola Chi.
Ivy (1): Harvard
MAAC (1): Iona
MAC (1): Ohio
MEAC (1): Morgan St.
MVC (2): Missouri St., Northern Iowa
MWC (2): UNLV, New Mexico
NE (1): Quinnipiac
Ohio Valley (1): Eastern Kentucky
Pac-10 (3): Washington, California, Arizona
Patriot (1): Army
SEC (8): Florida, South Carolina, Alabama, Mississippi, Vanderbilt, Auburn, Tennessee, Kentucky
Southern (1): Western Carolina
Southland (1): Texas San Antonio
Summit (1): IUPUI
Sun Belt (1): Denver
SWAC (1): Prairie View A&M
WAC (1): Louisiana Tech
West Coast (2): Portland, Gonzaga